BJP In Gujarat Bitterly Divided Against Itself !
BY
R.K.MISRA
With
a critically important election in Delhi and the country in the grip of a debilitating CAA-NRC student stir, there has
to be more than just ‘kite flying’ that
brings union Home Minister Amit Shah
twice to Gujarat in a matter of ten days?
Ostensibly
there were a string of engagements that dotted his official calendar during his
visits but these hardly reveal the complete picture. For the record, the union home minister landed on home turf
in the night of January 10 and left January 12 morning. He was back on the night
of January 13 and after a two day engagement left for Delhi again.
That
Shah should be spending extended time in his home state when he
has a packed plate in the crucial Delhi Assembly elections and an overflowing cup of woes in the
proliferating nationwide student protests on the CAA-NRC issue, is a pointer to
the serious business on hand. While for the record Shah may have just spent two
full working days in the course of his two visits but it is the oil burnt over
four nights of brain storming and inter-actions
that holds far greater relevance.
Within
days of Shah leaving for Delhi the long
festering discontentment had its
fall-out when party legislator from Savli in Vadodara
district , Ketan Inamdar resigned his
seat citing neglect of public interface by his own party government and
ministers. Three party legislators of Bharuch district including a minister of
state have upped the ante over the inability of the government in implementing
the policy of providing 85 per cent jobs to locals in the state public sector, Gujarat
Narmada Valley Fetilisers and Chemicals limited(GNFC). The three -minister of
state for Ishvarsinh Patel, Arunsinh Rana and Dushyant Patel who had met the chief minister and submitted
a memorandum, have also chosen to go public with their grievances against the
government as has former home minister
Mahendra Trivedi. Damage control has
saved the moment with Inamdar withdrawing his resignation but the problem
persists.
Though
J.P.Nadda has taken charge as the national BJP chief but Shah is expected to
continue playing a dominant role in Gujarat affairs under the watchful eyes of
the Prime Minister . A plethora of problems are lined up for his attention.
Taken together these include the looming Rajya Sabha elections, the contentious
issues pertaining to the
election/selection of key office-bearers including the near certain replacement
of the state party chief ,the continuing friction between the chief minister
and the deputy chief minister and the public spats between BJP leaders including its ministers that is lowering the image of the party besides
redressal of causative factors for the
setback suffered in the last Assembly
by-elections in the state.
Elections
to four Rajya Sabha seats from Gujarat are due in March . Three of these are
held by the BJP(union minister of state Purshottam Rupala,Lalsinh Varodaria and
Chunnibhai Gohil) and one by the Congress(Madhusudan Mistry). As things stand
the BJP does not possess the numbers to repeat it’s performance. Of the total
182 seats in the state Assembly, the BJP has 103 seats, Congress 73,tribal
outfit, BTP 2, NCP1, independent 1 with two seats vacant. The Congress
lost a dozen legislators to poaching by
the ruling BJP in the run-up to the 2017 Vidhan Sabha elections and five after it.
The
Congress exudes confidence that it will be able to increase it’s tally to two
while the BJP chief is confident of bagging 3 of the four, the number it held
earlier. The only way this is possible is
either through induced cross-voting or the ‘buyers-sellers’ meet .
The BJP is not new to it.
In the August 2017 Rajya Sabha election to three
seats in which Shah himself, Smriti Irani and Ahmed Patel of the Congress were
candidates ,Shah himself had masterminded a strategy of inducing almost a dozen
defections in a desperate bid to defeat Patel but failed. A similar strategy is
not ruled out this time too.
Rajya
Sabha remains the Achilles heel of the ruling BJP where it has had to seek
support from non-NDA parties to get crucial legislation through. Its dream of
majority here has suffered a setback
after it lost out in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra and
Jharkhand besides a substantially reduced tally in Haryana. The crucial
Assembly elections in Delhi and Bihar notwithstanding, the year 2020 will
see elections to 73 seats in the Rajya
Sabha countrywide with 69 members set to retire(18 from BJP,17 from Congress)
and four existing vacancies. A close analysis of the data reveals that the BJP
is unlikely to make any substantial gains and therefore the desperation.
Similarly
in October last year two Congress turncoats, Alpesh Thakore and Dhavalsinh
Jhala who had been fielded by the BJP had lost when Congress bagged three of
the six Assembly seats in the by-polls and lost the fourth to a last round
surge.
It
is these by-election results that had both Prime Minister Modi and Home
minister Amit Shah extremely upset. The result is that the departure of state party chief Jitu Vaghani is a certainty
while the sword of domocles hangs over the head of Chief Minister Vijay Rupani
who has received a temporary reprieve, thanks mainly to the top brass
preoccupation with the CAA-NRC stir.
The
constant fencing between Chief Minister
Rupani and his deputy Nitin Patel is the worst kept secret in Gujarat with
bureaucrats getting sucked into the vortex of the push and pull leading to
allround administrative laxity. The
return of Gujarat cadre, IAS, Anil Mukim from Delhi to take charge as chief
secretary of the state ,in a bid to
shore up matters has so far had little impact what with PMO pointsman,
K.K. Kailashnathan enjoying over-arching stature.
In
fact, dissidence had surfaced soon after
the 2017 Assembly elections .Inamdar was one of three BJP legislators from
Vadodara including Madhu Shrivastava and Yogesh Patel who had in 2018 first
raised the issue. Subsequently Yogesh Patel was inducted into the cabinet and
Shrivastava made chairman of the
Gujarat Agro-industries
Corporation(GAIC). Last year party MP
from Kaira, Devusinh Chauhan, Anand MP Mitesh Patel and Banaskantha MP, Parbat
Patel had raised issues which put their
own government in the dock.
Though
Inamdar’s resignation brought issues to the fore, but those whom he charges with inaction-ministers- have
themselves been voicing the same grievances. In the cabinet meeting on January 9, there were
fireworks when three ministers went at each other alleging that the works
related to their respective constituencies were not being done. Water and civil
supplies minister, Kunvarji Bavaliya was particularly vocal and said that despite repeated reminders, even the work of
BJP workers of his constituency were not being attended to. An angry home
minister soon waded into the duel with
his own set of grievances in this regard with the deputy chief minister in his
cross-hairs. The deputy chief minister, in turn, had his own complaints and it
fell on the lot of chief minister Rupani to bring down temperatures with the
light-hearted banter that even his works don’t get done.
All
in all, the BJP in Gujarat is a house bitterly divided against itself.
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