Gujarat : BJP Boxed , Congress Climbing
BY R.K.MISRA
Perceptions propel politics.
And the
perception of the Gujarat Rajya Sabha election which concluded on August 8 is
that the brute might of the BJP-government and party working in tandem-has been
busted by the sheer grit of Ahmed Patel and the Gujarat Congress. Call it a
conspiracy of colluding factors or just happenstance, but the BJP juggernaut in
Gujarat has been steadily going downhill ever since, while the Congress graph
is on the upswing.
One needs to finely go through the
sequence of events leading to the victory of Patel if events that followed are
to be viewed in proper perspective. A morale booster it surely has been for a Congress wracked by a battlefield desertion and key elements
walking into the rival camp. But an election victory is never complete in an
era of poor losers. The renegade Congressman turned BJP candidate, Balwantsinh
Rajput has challenged the decision of the Election Commission in the Gujarat
High Court but the judicial system here grinds too slowly for instant relief.
The fact of the matter is that the AICC
chief’s political advisor had quite literally snatched victory from the jaws of
defeat. It is lawyer leader Shaktisinh Gohil’s knowledge of parliamentary
procedures, his quick thinking and a momentary lapse by two of the Congress
rebels, Raghavji Patel and Bholabhai Gohil, owing allegiance to the raja of
rebellion, Shankersinh Vaghela that saved the day for Patel. Their votes were
invalidated by the Election Commission and he scraped through by the skin of
his teeth.
When the election process began it was
billed as a placid affair. Three seats were coming up for re-election and by
sheer weight of numbers two would go to the BJP-party chief Amit Shah and union
minister Smriti Irani -and the third to the Congress, Ahmed Patel, political
advisor to AICC chief Mrs Sonia Gandhi.Then Shah in concert with his boss
decided to raise the stakes and link it to strategic moves to destabilise it’s
already battered principal opponent, both in the state as well as at it’s
centre. So it was that a simple poll turned into a pressure cooker contest that
will influence state and national politics.
Gujarat goes to polls in 2017 and
India two years thereafter. Three principal players
of opposing sides-Narendra Modi, Amit Shah and Ahmed Patel-slated to play a key
role in both polls hail from Gujarat. Two of these were directly involved in
the Rajya Sabha election that concluded on August 8 and the shadow of the third
loomed large over the entire proceedings.
The contest turned into a slugfest
when BJP poached three Congress legislators turned one of them, a party chief
whip(Balwantsinh Rajput) into their third Rajya Sabha candidate thereby setting
the cat amongst the pigeons. Three others resigned their Assembly seats over
the next few days, bringing the Congress strength down from 57 legislators to
51.
Shah went all out to defeat Patel and the Congress was
forced to shepherd 44 of it’s 51
remaining legislators to the safe confines of Karnataka where the party is in
power. In a brazen,even naked demonstration of it’s power of pursuit, central
agencies conducted raids on the houses and establishments of the minister who
was looking after the Congress legislators. This could not have been possible
without clearance from the highest authority in the government. However for all
it’s pains, the BJP managed to break only one of the 44 legislators, Karamshi
Patel. He had pulled off a ruse by feigning illness and his son was allowed to
stay with him. It was this son who became Karamshi’s conduit to the BJP and he
voted against Congress after enjoying it’s hospitality in Bangaluru.
The Congress for a change showed a
rare ferocity in latching onto the technical lapse, demanding invalidation of
the two rebel votes for contravention of rules The BJP also refused to relent. When
the scene shifted to the Election Commission in Delhi, both sides pulled out
their top guns, former ministers and serving ministers lined up in a game of
hu-tu-tu. The government pulled out all stops in a bid to pressure the national
poll body but in vain. A video of the voting perused by the CEC clinched the
issue for the Congress with the two votes held invalid and Patel joined Shah
and Irani who managed their quota of 46 votes into the Rajya Sabha with a
personal tally of 44 votes.
This election has clearly brought out
that the BJP will use everything at it’s command, every authority in it’s
armoury ,using means fair or foul, to bust it’s opponent. The ends justify the
means. And there are reasons for it.
The BJP remains very wary of Mrs Sonia
Gandhi personally and members of the Congress first family as a whole. The
decimation of it’s credibility is the single-minded pursuit of the party in
power.This is because it has witnessed firsthand her ability to virtually
single-handedly pierce the ‘India shining’ shroud of the NDA government to
sculpt the revival of the Congress led UPA which had a two- term rule. On an
ideological plane,the idea of the Congress as a natural party of governance for
over half a century has to be erased before
the RSS-BJP version of ‘bharat’ can be implanted.
Ever since Modi left for Delhi, the
ruling BJP has been floundering from one crisis to another. His 13 year rule in
Gujarat turned him into a unitary command centre of both government and party. Both
chief ministers who followed ,Anandiben Patel and Vijay Rupani, paled into insignificance in
comparison. Hit by ethnic strife and anti-incumbency, disenchantment has risen
manifold. Patidars, the strongest supporters of the BJP are up in arms and the
dalits in a rebellious mood. In such a backdrop,the only way to raise your
stock is by pulling down your rivals. A Patel defeat would have restored some
balance. However this did not happen.
Patel’s victory,could not have come at
a better time for him. He is now the ‘tarzan’ who survived the onslaught of the
Modi government and the ‘surgical strike’ of Shah’s party, no mean a feat. Within
the Congress, the youth brigade led by Rahul Gandhi who were pushing the old
guards into oblivion will now have to
contend with a rejuvenated Patel. His writ now runs large both in the ensuing polls in
the state as well as nationally within his own party. He showed his fangs by
sacking 14 party leaders including Shankersinh Vaghela and his son, no sooner
he was elected. But more than just a pyrrhic victory will be needed to end the
over three decade old poll draught in Gujarat this year and claw the Congress
back into national reckoning in 2019.
Nevertheless, the worm seems to be
turning!.
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